Vanguard Magazine

Vanguard DecJan2016_digital

Preserving capacity, General Tom Lawson, Chief of the Defence Staff, Keys to Canadian SAR

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G GLOBaL DEFENCE 28 DECEMBER 2015/JANUARY 2016 www.vanguardcanada.com United Arab Emirates (UAE), Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and Bah- rain, are in the center of a regional neighborhood whose stability has been decreasing in recent years. Overt challenges from Iran, instability in neighboring nations (e.g. Yemen, Syria and Iraq), compounded by declining oil prices, are having a major impact on internal and regional stability. These wide-ranging challenges leave Defence leaders with tough choices. To examine these challenges, we have assessed the impact on 60 nations from geographic regions around the world: • Americas: Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Colombia, Chile, Mexi- co, United States, and Venezuela. • Europe: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, the Nether- lands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Swit- zerland, Turkey, Ukraine, and United Kingdom. • Middle East and Africa: Algeria, Angola, Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Ara- bia, South Africa, Syria, and the United Arab Emirates. • Asia Pacific: Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malay- sia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Ko- rea, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam. Our approach for developing these global Defence perspectives looks at recent Defence spending trends and the major invest- ment, institutional, structural and strategic priorities and chal- lenges impacting these nations. Using the insights and unique perspective of PwC's Global Government Defence Network, we have measured and plotted these 60 nations against two dimen- sions: 1) how they prioritize Defence spending and 2) how they position or 'posture' themselves in the global security environment. Mapping these nations on the basis of Defence prioritization vs. security posture results in a new Global Defence Map, as depicted in Figure 1. Figure S.1 New Global Defense Map Replacing Geography with 'Prioritization and Posture' The six segments in this graphic outline distinct profiles reflecting the respective Global Power Projectors: The United States and Russia. These two nations Their defense organizations are very large and mature. Although not necessarily Source: SIPRI, Teal Group International Defense Briefing, The Military Balance, IHS Defense Budgets, PwC analysis. Defense Prioritization • How much does the country spend: total and % GDP? • Recent trends and expected future vector: upward, flat or down? Security Posture • Does the country have a global, regional or domestic security orientation? China UK France Russia USA Norway South Africa Egypt Croatia Malaysia Thailand Angola Turkey Poland Japan Indonesia Philippines Venezuela Mexico Canada Spain Sweden New Zealand Qatar Chile Singapore Kuwait Algeria Estonia South Korea Bahrain UAE Israel Oman Australia Finland Denmark Lithuania Latvia The Netherlands Belgium Switzerland Austria Syria Italy Brazil Germany Ukraine Saudi Arabia India Argentina Greece Vietnam Taiwan Iran Pakistan Iraq Portugal Morroco Columbia 0.0% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% Notes: Country bubble size = 2014 total defense spend 2010-14 Growth <0 2010-14 Growth 0-1% 2010-14 Growth >1% // Territorial Security Seekers Threat-Focused Self-Defenders Coalition Partners Constrained Force Projectors Domestic Regional Global Security Posture Defense Prioritization (2014 Defense Spend % GDP) Robust Self-Defenders Global Power Projectors 5.2% 10.4% 11.6% 5.1% 5.9% 5.2% 5.4% Figure 1: Global Defence Map Replacing Geography with 'Prioritization and Posture' using the insights and unique perspective of Pwc's Global Government Defense network, we have measured and plotted 60 nations against two dimensions: Defense Prioritization and security Posture.

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