Vanguard Magazine

Vanguard FebMar_2016

Preserving capacity, General Tom Lawson, Chief of the Defence Staff, Keys to Canadian SAR

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i t is hard to know what is meant by the word 'war' anymore. 'War' has been declared on such things as ter- ror, drugs, and now, most bizarrely, mosquitoes as the Brazilian government reacts to the threat posed by the Zika virus to the upcoming Summer Olympic Games. Canada has not declared war on another state since the 1940's, although there has been plenty of conflict and military action since then. The problem is that while con- ventional war between military forces is less and less prevalent, governments still expect to exert power when a threat is identified. The new security environment includes problems like asymmetric conflict amongst the people and operations by proxy forces are the norm. How then do we plan for future defence forces and what technologies will they re- quire to enable their capabilities and coun- ter those of potential enemies? Most often, militaries begin their efforts with a future trends analysis before new acquisitions are made. The Canadian Armed Forces' first attempt at this occurred in 2010 with their release of The Future Security En- vironment 2008-2030. Part one of this G GlOBal DEFENCE ken Hansen is a resident research fellow at the Centre for Foreign Policy Studies and Adjunct Professor in Graduate Studies at the Department of Political Science at the Dalhousie University. His interests include maritime security theory and naval operational doctrine. He is team leader of the CFPS Maritime Security Policy Program research into piracy, illegal migration and crime at sea. fuTure war and new naval TeChnoloGy How then do we plan for future defence forces and what technologies will they require to enable their capabilities and counter those of potential enemies? www.vanguardcanada.com FEBRUARY/MARCH 2016 27

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